Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(542 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,207.2}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.6)}}\) (asimptote \(2,207.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $104$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(19.6 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103.7}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.1)}}\) (asimptote \(103.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $17$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $44,730$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(3.19 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{46,200.1}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 66.6)}}\) (asimptote \(46,200.1\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,659$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(551 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,590.1}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 46.3)}}\) (asimptote \(4,590.1\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $40,071$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,547$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(2.53 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(48.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,199.7}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 31.8)}}\) (asimptote \(8,199.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $238$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(66.1 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{232.3}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(232.3\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $171$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,981$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.07 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,937.9}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 48.2)}}\) (asimptote \(6,937.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $323$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(58.3 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{317.7}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 35.3)}}\) (asimptote \(317.7\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $858$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,148$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(2.43 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,824.3}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 41.1)}}\) (asimptote \(11,824.3\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $589$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(140 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{569.3}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 32.4)}}\) (asimptote \(569.3\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $604$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,807$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(634 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(53.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,803.1}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,803.1\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(4.12 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(52.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $59,226$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.12 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(35.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57,208.2}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 41.3)}}\) (asimptote \(57,208.2\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,595$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.82 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,271.7}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 37.6)}}\) (asimptote \(9,271.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,340$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $287,621$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(3.21 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{285,060.4}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 52.3)}}\) (asimptote \(285,060.4\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $40,625$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(5.83 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{38,662.4}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 43.3)}}\) (asimptote \(38,662.4\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $245,757$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $234,998$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(5.1 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{228,800.9}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 42.5)}}\) (asimptote \(228,800.9\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,899$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(6.43 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,796.9}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 44.6)}}\) (asimptote \(32,796.9\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $35,262$ on 2020-06-07
